Product/ Insurance/ Country risk
Country risk

Political risk where your sites are, scored and explained

Every country scored from 0 to 100 for political violence, war, expropriation and epidemics, from public data. Next to your insured values, with the reasons behind every score.

The problem

The other half of your exposure

Insurers ask about strikes, riots and civil commotion as well as flood and storm. Answering means reading three governments’ travel advice and a week of news.

Political risk lives in a spreadsheet

Natural catastrophes come with maps and models. Political risk is usually a list someone updated before last renewal.

Travel advice is not a number

Three governments write three kinds of advice. Turning them into one view per country is a job nobody has time for.

Risk and values never meet

Knowing a country is unstable is half the answer. The other half is how much of your insured value sits there.

How it works

Country risk next to the values it puts at risk

Country risk is a tab under Insurance Analytics. It scores every country you have sites in and shows how much of your insured value sits in each band.

  1. 01

    Every country scored

    A score from 0 to 100 for political violence, war, expropriation and biological hazards, from public data only.

  2. 02

    Next to your values

    The scores sit on the countries your sites are in, with the insured values of the period you pick.

  3. 03

    Explained and followed

    Every score shows its reasons and sources. The history shows when a country moved, and the pulse shows unrest this week.

insurance / analytics / country risk 2026 PERIOD
Riskiest country Colombia 62 High · €48M insured
Insured in high-risk countries €61M 7% · Colombia, Nigeria
Flaring this week 1 Kenya
Scores changed, 30 days ↑1 ↓1 Kenya 38→46, Mexico 52→48
Insured value by country risk · €870M
Very low €612M Low €121M Moderate €76M High €61M Very high —
Country Score Sites Insured Last change Colombia 62 High 3 €48M +4 · 2 SepNigeria 57 High 1 €13M —Mexico 48 Moderate 4 €52M −4 · 28 SepKenya 46 Moderate 1 €24M +8 · 9 OctBrazil 31 Low 3 €58M —
Features

What you get with Country risk

FOUR PARTS

One score, four risks

Political violence, war, expropriation and biological hazards, each scored 0 to 100. The country takes the score of its riskiest part.

MAP

Your sites on the map

Countries from green to red with your sites on top. Switch on conflict or unrest events and see how close they come to your sites.

EXPORT

A table for the broker

Every country with its score, its four parts, your sites and your insured value. Export it to Excel.

Every score explains itself

Show your broker why a country scores what it does

Open a country and read each part’s reasons in plain words, with the facts they rest on. Below them is each government’s advice in force, summarised with a link to the original, the score’s history and your sites in the country.

country risk / colombia 3 SITES · €48M
62 High set by political violence · was 58 until 2 Sep
The four parts
Political violence 62
War 55
Expropriation 24
Biological hazards 18

Why political violence is 62 The U.S. advises reconsidering travel over crime, terrorism and civil unrest A1, and the UK advises against travel to some areas A2. World Bank governance data rates political stability as weak G1.

Advice in force
U.S. Department of State Level 3 of 4 A1
UK FCDO Against travel to some areas A2
German Federal Foreign Office Partial travel warning A3
Summarised in our words, with a link to each original.
Pulse

Notice when unrest flares where you have sites

A row per country you have sites in, a dot per day over the last 13 weeks. A day stays grey while unrest in the news is usual for that country, and turns red when it rises well above. Flaring countries come first. Open a country for its whole year.

country risk / pulse LAST 13 WEEKS
Kenya flaring
Colombia 62
Nigeria 57
Mexico 48
Brazil 31
usual twice a usual day three times or more

The bands, sources and rules are in the docs: country risk. For flood, storm and earthquake per site, see NatCat exposure.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions

What does the score cover?

Four kinds of risk to property and business: political violence (riots, strikes, civil commotion, terrorism, sabotage), war (including civil war and insurrection), expropriation (confiscation and nationalisation) and biological hazards such as epidemics. Each is scored from 0 to 100, and the country score is the highest of the four.

Where does the data come from?

Public sources only: travel advice from the U.S., UK and German governments, CDC travel health notices, the World Bank governance indicators, UCDP conflict data and GDELT news-coded unrest. Each country page credits its sources and links to the original advice.

How is a country scored?

An AI model applies a fixed rubric to the country’s facts and writes the reasons for each part. Each reason cites the facts it rests on. Every country is scored five times and the middle score is kept, so one unusual answer does not move it.

How current is it?

The facts are checked every hour, and a country is scored again when they change, such as a new advice level or a change in conflict deaths. A government rewording its advice does not change the score.

How is it different from NatCat?

NatCat scores each site’s address for earthquake, storm and flood, from Munich Re. Country risk scores the country a site is in for political violence, war, expropriation and epidemics, from public data. Both sit next to the same insured values.

Can I ask my AI assistant about it?

Yes. The scores are open to the AI assistant you connect to 21RISK, such as Claude or Microsoft Copilot. Ask how much of your insured value is in high-risk countries, or why a country scores what it does, and it answers from the same data, within the access you grant it.

Who can see it?

Everyone with the Read COPE & Values permission on Insurance, like the other Analytics tabs. The scores are the same for every organization; the sites and insured values are your own.

Is this insurance or travel advice?

No. The score is an indication from public sources, to see and explain your exposure. Follow the publishers’ own advice before travelling, and agree cover with your broker.

See where your values meet political risk

Talk to us about your sites, and we will show you their countries scored and explained.